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How do I calculate how much to raise my budget to clear a budget limitation?

A quick primer

Google Ads has a built-in tool for exactly this task — the Budget Simulator, accessible by clicking the "Limited by budget" status in the campaign table. It builds a simulation from actual auction data over the past 7 days and shows how clicks, impressions, conversions, and spend would change at different daily budget levels — giving you a quantitative curve of results versus budget for this specific campaign, rather than a vague suggestion.

If you need a rougher, manual estimate without the Budget Simulator (say, for a quick gut check before diving deeper), you can work from Search Lost IS (budget) — it directly shows the share of impressions missed specifically due to budget shortfall. The rough logic: if a campaign is losing, say, 30% of impressions to budget, capturing nearly all of that volume would take roughly an additional 30–40% on top of the current budget — but that's a crude estimate, since it doesn't account for the fact that the extra traffic may be pricier than what's already being captured (cheaper auctions tend to get won first). The official description of the Impression Share metric, including Lost IS (budget), is in Google Ads Help's article on Impression Share. It's also worth keeping in mind that with target-based strategies (tCPA/tROAS), raising the budget doesn't guarantee a proportional volume increase — if the target is also constraining bid competitiveness, you'll need to check the target simulator as well, not just the Budget Simulator.

What to check before you touch anything

  • What does the Budget Simulator show specifically at various budget levels — what gain in clicks, impressions, and conversions corresponds to specific increase figures, rather than a vague "raise the budget."
  • The value of Search Lost IS (budget) over the last 2–4 weeks, as a manual reference if the Budget Simulator is unavailable or doesn't offer a recommendation due to insufficient data.
  • Is the campaign also constrained by target (Bid strategy constrained by target)? If so, raising the budget alone may not be enough to genuinely grow volume, since the target will also be holding growth back.
  • How stable is current CPA/ROAS as the budget grows? Extra volume often comes from pricier or less-converting auctions, so the proportional growth in results is usually smaller than the proportional growth in budget.
  • Does the campaign have enough data for a reliable simulation? On campaigns with low traffic or conversion volume, the Budget Simulator may either show no recommendation or give a less precise estimate.

Possible approaches

  • The most reliable approach is to go by the Budget Simulator's specific numbers rather than percentage estimates from Lost IS, since the simulator factors in real auction data rather than a general proportion.
  • If the Budget Simulator isn't available, use Lost IS (budget) as a rough guide for the first step up, but raise the budget gradually (say, 20–30% at a time) and watch how CPA/ROAS actually changes, rather than immediately committing to the full estimated increase.
  • If the campaign is also constrained by target, first (or in parallel) consider how realistic the target is, since raising the budget without addressing that constraint may not deliver the expected volume growth.
  • After raising the budget, give the campaign time to stabilize (similar to the settling-in period after a target change) before assessing whether the new budget is being fully used and delivering the expected volume.
  • If growth still doesn't happen after raising the budget in line with the Budget Simulator's recommendation, the real constraint is likely no longer the budget — worth moving on to diagnosing other factors (target, bids, keywords, ads).
  • A manual Lost IS calculation and the built-in Budget Simulator each give you one estimate at a time — to sketch out several scenarios (different budget levels combined with different bid limits), you have to rerun the simulation manually for every variant. Our tool (Budget Planner, part of DataMind) solves this with one click: it builds 10–100 budget scenarios at once, with a forecast for conversion volume (and ROAS/CPA where relevant), based on your chosen daily limit and bid limit — so instead of one manual estimate, you immediately see the whole grid of possible scenarios, and the decision on exactly how much to raise the budget is based on comparing options rather than a single calculation.